по совету av_rybin глянул на
суровые лица противников Путина в журнале Foreign Policy, который недавно Навального в "глобальные мыслители" зачислил. Стало не по себе. Сначала из-за фотографий Кирилла Никитенко, которые надо на сайте большими смотреть, а потом от некоторых мыслей участников.
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Немцов о потерянных детях, клептократах и паразитах (до 25-ти): It is tragic that the next generation is lost to our struggle. I naively thought that our children would be more freedom-loving than us, but that is not the way it turned out. Surveys show that it is young people under 25 who are the most loyal to the regime. This is a generation that grew up watching Putin's TV networks; it is deeply cynical and pragmatic. This is mostly a generation of kleptocrats and parasites looking to buy patronage and protection. They dream of getting close to the state budget, to live and steal more easily. Organizations like Nashi [the United Russia youth party] are built on a myth of upward social mobility: acting like a spineless lackey is supposedly a guarantee of material success. Young people will do anything to make money and have a career, but they are not ready to join a fight, if they do not know when they can collect their winnings.
Чирикова об экономических перспективах: Russia will slowly become like Rwanda.
Каспаров о эффекте глобального кризиса на Россию: The world is on the verge of great economic turmoil. It is clear that Putin's Russia is absolutely unprepared for the challenges of these times. Therefore, the forecast should be for the next 12-15 months and not the next 12 years. I think the reference point will be February 2013. The global crisis will gain momentum at this time. Adjustments to oil prices are possible. Markets will fall. Most likely, the ruble will continue to lose value. In this case, I'm afraid that the analogy with Egypt might be too weak. There is no doubt that Putin would give orders to fire on his own people. He is ready to fight and spill blood because he has nowhere to go. The question is whether there are enough people willing to resist.
Парфенов о предстоящей стагнации а ля 2000-е годы: The future is easy to predict. Expect only stagnation from Putin's return to power -- the agenda is exhausted, and the 2010s are doomed to repeat the previous decade.
Старшее поколение настроено менее радикально:
Алексеева о политических перспективах: The regime won't necessarily fall, but one thing is clear: By forcing the desired result for the parliamentary and presidential elections, Putin will not be able to feel and rule the same way as in the previous presidency. He will have to have more consideration for the people."
Ковалев: I can only see one, incredibly difficult, but bloodless way out of our tragic situation: forcing those in power to enter into an open dialog with the opposition that is beginning to form (unfortunately, it is still fragmented and ineffective). This would be like the Polish round tables of 1980 and 1989. The alternatives to this fantastic option are unpredictable and possibly even terrible-fascist revolts, chaos, and cruel totalitarianism.
@темы:
не моё,
есть мнение,
либерастия,
ППКС
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09.12.2011 в 13:16-
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09.12.2011 в 13:39-
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09.12.2011 в 14:47